Crude Oil — WTI Seasonality & Best Time to Trade
When Crude Oil — WTI is most volatile and how it has moved by month and weekday, measured from daily candles across broker feeds.
By day of week
| Day | Avg daily range | Avg return |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 1.76% | -0.409% |
| Tue | 1.60% | 0.171% |
| Wed | 1.66% | -0.168% |
| Thu | 1.50% | -0.221% |
| Fri | 1.87% | 0.184% |
Monthly figures below are based on limited history (n=2 per month) — directional, not a strong seasonal signal. Day-of-week is well-sampled.
By month
| Month | Avg daily range | Avg return | Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | —% | —% | 0 |
| Feb | —% | —% | 0 |
| Mar | —% | —% | 0 |
| Apr | —% | —% | 0 |
| May | 1.61% | 6.16% | 2 |
| Jun | 1.65% | -1.08% | 2 |
| Jul | 1.57% | -8.94% | 2 |
| Aug | 1.70% | 0.65% | 2 |
| Sep | 1.81% | -5.24% | 2 |
| Oct | 1.61% | -2.42% | 2 |
| Nov | 1.82% | 6.77% | 2 |
| Dec | 1.49% | -3.41% | 2 |
Range = average high−low as % of price; return = average change over the period. Real measured market behaviour of the instrument, straight from broker price feeds.